SAFFORD  COTTON DEVELOPMENT ADVISORY
                                    JUN 16, 2013 
PLANTING                                                               +/- normal
DATE+-------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    |            |   |     |      |         |           |           |         |
    |            |   |  v  |      |         |           |           |         |
4/1 ************************* 1229                                        +5 days
    |            |   v     |      |         |           |           |         |
4/15********************** 1088                                           +4 days
    |            v   |     |      |         |           |           |         |
5/1 ****************** 883                                                +4 days
    |        v   |   |     |      |         |           |           |         |
5/15************* 662                                                     +3 days
    |            |   |     |      |         |           |           |         |
    |           Pin Sus   1st     1"    Pk. Bloom    Cut-Out    Terminate     |
    |          head  Sq. Flowr   Boll   +---+---+   +---+---+   +---+---+     |
    |                                   S   M   F   S   M   F   S   M   F     |
    +-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-+
    0      400     800     1200    1600    2000    2400    2800    3200    3600
               HEAT UNITS ACCUMULATED FROM  PLANTING to JUN 15
     v = Heat Units on JUN 8;  S,M,F = Short, Medium, and Full Season Varieties

  HEAT UNITS 
--------------------------------
Heat Unit (HU) accumulation since Jan 1 = 1614;  Last year = 1511;  Normal = 1493
HUs since Jan 1 are running about 5 days ahead of normal.
HU last week = 173

HISTORICAL STATISTICS 
--------------------------------
  Last Week : JUN 9 - JUN 15              This Week : JUN 16 - JUN 22
           HIGH  LOW DEWPT HUs  RAIN               HIGH  LOW DEWPT HUs
  Normal     98   60   34  145  ----       Normal   101   61   36  154
  Recorded  104   67   33  173  0.00         2012   102   57   24  144

ESTIMATED WATER USE 
--------------------------------
      Planting date :     4/1    4/15      5/1    5/15
Water Use (last week):    1.65"   1.36"     .93"    .65"

HEAT STRESS LEVELS 
--------------------------------
Date     6/9    6/10   6/11   6/12   6/13   6/14   6/15  
Stress    ns     ns     ns     ns     ns     ns     ns  
Key :  ns = no stress;  L1 = Level 1 Stress;  L2 = Level 2 Stress 

WEATHER UPDATE 
--------------------------------
--Sunny, hot & dry conditions will prevail through late in the week. Expect temp-
eratures to average 3-5 degrees above normal. Longer term forecasts indicate some
moisture will enter the region by the weekend. This is not expected to be a major
humidity event & should impact only central & eastern production areas. Any pre-
cipitation is expected to be light and mostly associated with higher elevation 
areas. The long range forecast for the monsoon season (July-September) indicates
a moderate bias for above normal temperatures & no bias relative to precipitation.