Roger L. Caldwell
Professor Emeritus, Soil, Water and Environmental Science
Former Director, Educational Communications and Technologies
University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
roger.caldwell@cox.net
Overview- I retired from the University of Arizona in June 2003 after 37 years on the faculty. I have been involved in a number of projects and presentations since retiring; those with possible interest to others are listed below. I have tried to maintain my "Anticipating the Future" web course but it is a little out of date. When I retired I added a section to the course titled "short course" for those that would like to take a quick look at the futures process (it is a "portal" web page that links to the key aspects of the course). Before retiring I served as special assistant to deans and provosts for strategic planning and existing/emerging trends, and as a special projects director for the current status and future of information technology and communications, energy, and institutional assessments..
- Below I listed 1) links to futures course and my short version bio, 2) my recent publications or presentations since retirement, 3) recommended futures books, 4) links to brief reports related to futures scenarios in higher education, and 5) links to brief guidelines or "how to" guides to study the future (more are in the course pages materials). I am in the process of (slowly) revising the format of this page - if you happen to drop by and would like to suggest something new, please let me know at the above email address.
- For further details on course or background (search course below)
- • Brief summary describing a Good Futurist -- Futures, Foresight and People that Study the Future (from several perspectives)
- • My web based futures class (available for reading/reference) - titled "Anticipating the Future" (quick link to the "short course" version)
- • My handy hints listing for what I have learned about in how to study the future
- • My 3-page biography
- Recent presentations or reports (since retirement in June 2003).
- • Two Scenarios for the University of Arizona, January 28, 2009, 5 pages in pdf.
- • A New Framework for Anticipating the Future, Updated January 25, 2009, 3 pages in pdf
- • Higher Education Futures: Learning from Others, Updated January 2009, 19 pages in pdf
- • Selected Futures Studies: Case Histories and Scenarios, Updated January 2009, 19 pages in pdf
- • A Suggested Enhancement of the University of Arizona Transformation Process, November 12, 2008, 2 pages in pdf
- • History of the World Futures Studies Federation, April 2008, 7 pages in pdf
- • Sustainability - Talk to American Chemical Society Science Cafe, April 15, 2008, 2 pages in pdf
- • Electronic Collaboration and Collaboratories, January 2008, about 2 pages (archived at WebCite http://www.webcitation.org/5UqUoFxUl - last character is lower case L)
- • The Future of Higher Education: A Survival Manual, Women in Higher Education Conference, October 2006, 30 slides in pdf - (5 page handout of slides in pdf).
- • Challenges facing public universities (in preparation for UA presidential search), July 2006, 2 pages in pdf
- • Energy and Future Presentation, April 2006, 42 slides in pdf
- • Environment and Future Presentation, February 2006, 28 slides in pdf
- • Environment and Future, Study Guide/References, February 2006, 23 pages in pdf
- • Strategic Plan and Related Documents for UA College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, September 2005 (several formats of same plan)
- • Futures planning session for university department (opening remarks), April 2005, 18 slides in pdf
- • Higher Education Futures: Learning from Others (Excerpt for AZ Universities Redesign Study), January 25, 2005, 15 pages in pdf
- • Arizona Universities Redesign Study (principal author of faculty stakeholder final report), January 2005, 41 pages in pdf
- • Forum Presentation on Health Futures, October 2004, 28 slides in pdf.
- • History and Future of Digital Learning at University of Arizona, May 2003, 28 slides in pdf
- Recommended futures books - with a link to more details where available (none are techniques cookbooks but they make you think about the future in realistic ways).
- 1. Barker, Joel. 1992. Paradigms: The Business of Discovering the Future. 240 pages. A short book that gives the rationale of paradigms and how/why they shift, with many very good examples. More info at Amazon.com or Joel Barker's page.
- 2. Hiemstra, Glen. 2006. Turning the Future into Revenue: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know to Shape Their Futures. 224 pages. An easy to read and comprehensive book on how to learn about the future. More info at Amazon.com or Glen Hiemstra's page.
- 3. Hines, Andy and Peter Bishop (editors). 2007. Thinking About the Future, Guidelines for Strategic Foresight. A practical and readable book edited by two very experienced futurists with contributions by 36 futurists. More info at Amazon.com
- 4. Johanson, Bob. 2007. Get There Early: Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present. 258 pages. A description of the futures process at the Institute for the Future, focusing on Foresight, to Insight to Action. More info at Amazon.com or the Institute for the Future.
- 5. Naisbitt, John. 2006. Mindset. 282 pages. Part I is a description of various "mindsets" and Part II focuses on "Pictures" (e.g., scenarios) of the future. More info at Amazon.com or John Naisbitt's page.
- Links to brief reports related to future scenarios in education.
- • Six OECD Scenarios for Universities. 2005. 6 pages in pdf
- • Four OECD Futures Scenarios for Higher Education (similar to above 6 scenarios but different format/content). 2006. 10 pages in pdf
- • Seven (abstracted) Scenarios from Futures Projects (Frank Newman et al. at Brown University). 2004. 1 page in pdf
- Links to brief guidelines or "how to" guides to study the future
- • Joseph Coates. 2004. Coming to Grips With the Future (12 pages, pdf) - includes skills of the effective futurist
- • Roger Caldwell, 2003, Short course of Futures Techniques - on web, multiple pages depending on what is selected.
- • Andy Hines, 2005, An Audit for Organizational Futurists (14 pages, pdf) - 10 Questions You Should be Able to Answer
- • Sohail Inayatullah, 2002, Teaching Future Studies: From Strategy to Transformative Change (web page)
Revised: November 21, 2008